Marea Britanie poate evita prabusirea doar daca se imprumuta de la FMI
Vorbeau romanii de faptul ca Romania greseste luand imprumut de la FMI ? Ei bine iata ca una din tarile puternic dezvoltate ale lumii, se pare ca nu au alta sansa sa evite recesiunea crunta, daca nu ia credit de la FMI si aici vorbim de Marea Britanie.
George Soros was 13 when the Nazis invaded his homeland of Hungary. As a Jew, he was forced to adopt a false identity and live separately from his parents in Budapest. Instead of being traumatised by the experience, though, he found the danger exhilarating. “It was high adventure,” he says, “like living through Raiders of the Lost Ark.”
Sixty-five years later, he still thrives on danger. He famously made $1 billion on Black Wednesday by shorting the pound, earning him the label of “the man who broke the Bank of England”. Last year, as the world tipped into financial chaos, Mr Soros pocketed another $1.1 billion by correctly predicting the downturn. “I’m an expert in crises,” he says.
The man who has a phobia about maths has made his name as the philosopher king of economics – his book The Crash of 2008, out in paper-back next week, has been a bestseller on both sides of the Atlantic. Since 1944 he has believed in what he calls “reflexivity” – the idea that people base their decisions on their own perception of a situation rather than on the reality.
He has applied this both to investment and to politics: his skill has been to predict moments of seismic change by identifying a disjunction between perception and reality.
When everyone else was convinced that the markets would automatically correct themselves, the 78-year-old “old fogey”, as he calls himself, was one of the few warning of recession. He put all his chips on “the Barack guy” early on when all around him were still gunning for Hillary Clinton. It’s almost as if he has been waiting for the Great Recession for the past ten years. When we ask whether he prefers booms or busts, he replies: “I have to admit that actually I flourish, I’m more stimulated by the bust.”
This recession, he explains, is a “once-in-a-lifetime event”, particularly in Britain. “This is a crisis unlike any other. It’s a total collapse of the financial system with tremendous implications for everyday life. On previous occasions when you had a crisis that was threatening the system the authorities intervened and did whatever was necessary to protect the system. This time they failed.”
The financial oracle does not know how long it will last. “That depends on how it’s handled. Allowing Lehman Brothers to fail was the game-changing event. That’s when the financial crisis went over the brink.” We could end up with a depression. “Unless we handle it well then I think we would. The size of the problem is actually bigger than in the 1930s.”
The problem in Britain, he believes, is in many ways worse than in America or Germany. “American memory is seared by the Depression, the German memory is seared by hyperinfla-tion but Britain has a pretty serious problem in many ways worse than America because the financial sector looms bigger and the overvaluation of real estate is bigger than in America.”
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DZ said
am March 29 2009 @ 11:19 am
http://urbanviorel.ro/category/control-draconic-in-marea-britanie/
apocas said
am March 29 2009 @ 2:14 pm
nazistii nu au invadat ungaria,
ungaria le-a fost aliata in toata perioada razboiului,
(spre deosebire de romania care a incasat-o de la toti)
Roald said
am March 29 2009 @ 3:13 pm
“Apocas”, da, asa este si spre deosebire de noi nu a tot trecut dintr-o tabara in alta.
Ce reiese din articol este ca Marea Britanie a fost bine incorsetata si fraierita de mafia bancara mondiala, incat sa fie obligata sa joace cum i se canta, deci sa ia si aceste imprumuturi. Ideea articolului ar fi mai degraba aveti grija sa nu ajungeti ca ei…
Florin said
am March 29 2009 @ 5:48 pm
Pai noi am ajuns acolo inaintea lor. Pentru ca am fost mult mai mici si mai fraieri, de-aia… De unde acest interes ca toata lumea sa faca imprumuturi la FMI ca sa reziste crizei? Ce pret au aceste imprumuturi? Ce legi trebuie sa mai adoptam, ce trebuie sa mai facem pentru asta? Si… cine conduce de fapt FMI??? Ma refer nu la aia numiti pe-acolo, pe bune, cine e in spatele FMI?
Si daca criza asta va tine mult si bine, cat vor EI, ce urmeaza pentru “imprumutati”? Sa gandim un pic… sa vedem ce ne asteapta… sunt curios si sper sa se pastreze link-ul asta 3 ani de-aici incolo si dupa alegerile viitoare sa vedem rezultatul acestui imprumut al Romaniei la FMI. Daca mai tine cineva minte ce s-a propus prin acest minunat imprumut si ce se va intampla cu banii luati.
Flory's said
am March 29 2009 @ 6:00 pm
sclavie !
Radianu Mihai said
am March 29 2009 @ 6:29 pm
sunt asa de ingrijorat de ce o sa faca anglia ca nu mai pot dormi!
Othelo said
am March 29 2009 @ 8:51 pm
Radianu Mihai, traim intr-o economie globala, si ce se intampla in SUA sau UK, UE sau chiar China ne va afecta in mod direct sau indirect si inca destul de serios. Roald si Florin au facut niste observatii corecte dupa parerea mea.
Acesta era un capitol unde Romania statea poate cel mai bine dintre toate tarile UE: gradul de indatorate raprotat la PIB era inaintea acestui imprumut undeva pe la 30%, spre comparatie cu Ungaria =150%, Spania, peste 300%, Irlanda cu 800% si acum aproape de faliment desi era pe locul doi in lume in decembrie 2007 la PIB/cap de locuitor, dar indicatorul era mai degraba fals, fiind realizat printr-o uriasa datorie externe. Islanda se stie ca deja a dat faliment, la fel si Ucraina. Situatia incepe sa fie grava in Italia, Franta si Spania, in Marea Britanie vedeti ce se intampla. Germania gestioneaza deocamdata ceva mai bine, dar n u se stie ce ii rezerva viitorul.
Va veni o vreme cand nici una dintre tari nu va putea plati datoriile externe, si atunci o vor face cu terenuri. Creditorii (bancile internationale) nici nu au nevoie de bani, au destui, ei au nevoie de resursele naturale, acestea sunt miza.
Parerea mea este ca ar fi fost bine sa imprumutam doar atat cat aveam nevoie, adica 6-7 miliarde, asa banii se vor topi aiurea cu ocazia alegerilor prezidentiale si pentru parlamentul European ce se vor tine anul acesta la noi, si oalele sparte le vom plati noi. Nu cred ca va exista vreun guvern capabil, indiferent de culoarea politica, sa gestioneze situatia aceasta de criza. Multi dintre politicieni, si din pacate chiar si din electorat nu realizeaza gravitatea situatiei economice de la noi si de aiurea. Exportul nu mai merge, inainte, chiar daca economia nu duduia, puteam exporta, ne bazam pe performanta economiilor occidentale, care permitea desfacerea unor produse romanesti pe pietele lor. Acum, bate vantul. Criza va dura, groapa cu siguranta nu a venit inca.
ildiko said
am March 30 2009 @ 8:30 am
Intrebare retorica: ce naiba facea FMI cu banii proprii daca nu s-ar fi pus de o criza, mucegaiau in depozite sau se demagnetizau in vreun supercomputer?
Maria Vasile said
am March 30 2009 @ 9:04 am
FMI doreste sa detina controlul total, si asta nu se poate face decat prin imprumuturi, vai de capul nostru! Este evident ca nu am devenit decat o colonie din toate punctele de vedere.
Othelo said
am March 30 2009 @ 9:33 am
Se stie foarte bine ca nici o tara unde a intervenit FMI nu a avut vreun succes economic, ba din contra. Un exemplu la indemana este Ungaria. A luat parca 25 de miliarde de la FMI si tot a intrat in recesiune. Poate ar fi fost bine ca noi sa fi luat exact cat ne trebuia, dar se pare ca am fost obligati la o suma minima.
Eugen P said
am March 30 2009 @ 11:56 am
Anglia este finantatoare a FMI si probabil ca ia bani cu 0% dobanda, asa ca sa nu murim noi de grija lor
Roald said
am March 30 2009 @ 9:32 pm
“Eugen P” Ii doare in pix pe banksteri daca e vorba de UK, SUA, Romania sau Burkina Fasso ! Aceeasi soarta ne-o rezerva tuturor !
nedumeritu said
am March 31 2009 @ 12:40 pm
manipularea continua cu nerusinare! ce legatura are tilul cu articolul? unde scrie in tot articolul asta ca Marea Britanie poate evita prabusirea doar daca se imprumuta de la FMI??? unde este macar pomenit FMI???